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goPeer Case Study: Why Risk Management Matters More Than Picking the Right Stock
In this goPeer case study, I use 5+ years of my own goPeer P2P lending data to explore why risk management and diversification can matter more than picking individual winners. Across 1,046 resolved loans, 908 have been fully repaid and…
How to Identify the Strongest Post-Earnings Momentum Setups
Based on 109 completed post-earnings momentum setups, PTJ’s 2026 data shows that the strongest trades weren’t necessarily the stocks making the biggest initial moves. Setups moving 7%–12% produced an 81.6% favorable next-day EOD rate, while 20%+ moves averaged just 8.07%…
MNDY Vs. ACH Case Study: Why Trade Selection Matters
In this MNDY vs. ACH post-earnings case study, I compare two bearish setups from August 10, 2026. MNDY fell 13.95% during its first hourly earnings candle but produced just 4.92% MFE, while ACH initially dropped 19.76% before extending to a…
Does High Short Interest Create Stronger Post-Earnings Momentum Setups?
Conventional wisdom tells traders that high short interest increases the potential for a short squeeze, especially when unexpected good news forces bearish traders to cover their positions. But the relationship between short interest and post-earnings price action is much more…
BLMN Case Study: How to Trade an Earnings Breakout Without an EMA Pullback
This BLMN case study examines how Bloomin’ Brands turned a 39.29% EPS beat, 2.09% revenue beat, and raised full-year guidance into a powerful post-earnings momentum setup. After surging 11.78% in its first hourly candle, BLMN never provided a meaningful EMA…
APPS Case Study: Why Great Earnings Setups Can Repeat Quarter After Quarter
Digital Turbine (NASDAQ: APPS) delivered a textbook post-earnings momentum setup after reporting a 35.71% EPS beat, a 10.80% revenue beat, 26.78% year-over-year revenue growth, and raising full-year guidance. In this APPS case study, we explore how the stock responded with…
PLTR Case Study: A Textbook Bullish Earnings Report Lead to a +16.68% MFE
Palantir (PLTR) delivered a solid earnings reports, beating EPS estimates by 17.14%, revenue estimates by 7.18%, growing revenue 92.83% year-over-year, raising full-year guidance by roughly $500 million. The stock then rallied 12.05% during its first hourly earnings candle before extending…
RDDT Case Study: Why Bullish Earnings Can Creat Both a Perfect Short and Long Opportunity
Reddit (RDDT) reported 61.10% year-over-year revenue growth, an 8.04% revenue beat, and bullish forward guidance above Wall Street expectations. Yet despite those bullish fundamentals, the stock plunged 8.05% during the first hourly earnings candle, creating a 17.55% maximum favorable excursion…
RBLX Case Study: Why a Massive 25% EPS Beat Still Led to -30% Selloff
This RBLX case study examines how a company can report strong earnings yet still experience a sharp selloff. Despite beating EPS estimates by more than 25% and growing revenue nearly 36% year over year, RBLX missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations…
CAKE Case Study: Where Should You Put a Stop Loss?
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) delivered an impressive post-earnings momentum setups after reporting a 23.08% EPS beat and a 3.46% revenue beat, while raising full-year revenue guidance. The stock surged 5.17% during the first hourly earnings candle before pulling back into the…
TSLA Case Study: How a 2.6% Earnings Drop Triggered an 18.2% Selloff
Tesla (TSLA) delivered a clean post-earnings momentum short setups after reporting EPS of $0.36 per share on $28.24 billion in revenue. Although revenue grew 25.5% year over year, earnings missed expectations by 34.5%, free cash flow turned negative, R&D spending…
SMCI Case Study: Why Momentum Traders Should Wait for the Pullback
Following a major business update, Super Micro Computer (SMCI) surged 16.8% in a single hourly candle before closing the day 20.5% above its previous close. Traders who bought the momentum candle captured a maximum favorable excursion (MFE) of 8.36% but…
Concentrated vs. Diversified Portfolio: Which Strategy Is Better?
Successful trading or investing isn’t about choosing between concentration and diversification. It’s about knowing where concentration creates opportunity and where diversification protects you from uncertainty. The best investors in history concentrated their highest-conviction ideas, while the best risk managers understood…
Does Price Action Matter More Than Earnings?
In 65 tracked post-earnings set ups, stocks with clearly aligned fundamentals and technicals did not produce higher MFE or a better probability of reaching a 9% profit target before a 5% stop. Surprisingly, set ups classified as fundamentally and technically…
Do Long Candlestick Wicks Predict Weaker Post-Earnings Momentum?
Using a proprietary dataset of 65 post-earnings momentum set ups, I analyzed whether the length of the first hourly earnings candle’s wick affected next-day price action. Setups featuring long momentum-end wicks hit a +9% profit target just 25.0% of the…
ASTS Case Study: How to Identify Better Momentum Trade Entries
Convertible note offerings can create some of the best momentum trading opportunities outside of earnings season because they introduce the potential for future share dilution. In AST SpaceMobile’s case, the company announced a $1 billion convertible senior notes offering with…
AEHR Case Study: How Strong Guidance Created a 25% Earnings Breakout
AEHR Test Systems (AEHR) delivered a perfect post-earnings momentum setup after reporting earnings and announcing bullish forward guidance. The stock surged 25.87% during the first hourly earnings candle, rallied another 21.57% from there before reversing. This case study is a…
Which Timeframe Is Best For Breakout Trading? – Hourly, 4-Hour, and Daily Breakouts Analysis
Most traders believe that the more timeframes a stock breaks, the stronger the momentum should become. But is that actually true after earnings? I analyzed 61 real post-earnings momentum trades to compare hourly, 4-hour, and daily breakouts, measuring profit target…
How Often Do Stocks Gap Up vs. Gap Down After Earnings?
Stocks can move dramatically after reporting earnings, but do they usually gap higher or lower? To find out, I analyzed dozens of post-earnings setups and compared the results with decades of academic research on earnings announcements. The results were surprisingly…
IBM Trade Review: A Simple Momentum Trade Driven by Bad News
IBM plunged more than -26% after issuing disappointing preliminary second-quarter guidance, creating a textbook momentum trading opportunity. I entered a $1,000 short position using my standard 9% profit target and 5% stop loss, ultimately locking in $99 in profit in…
Earnings Season Statistics: Which Metrics Actually Move Stocks?
Every earnings season, traders and investors are bombarded with revenue figures, EPS results, guidance updates, and dozens of other financial metrics. But which ones actually matter? In this guide, we’ll break down the most important earnings metrics and explain how…
WDFC Case Study: Why Even the Best Setups Need an Exit Strategy
WD-40 (NASDAQ: WDFC) delivered a strong post-earnings momentum setup after reporting a massive earnings beat, strong revenue growth, and raising full-year guidance. In this case study, I’ll break down why the setup earned an A+ rating, how the stock gained…
Is It Better to Trade Long or Short? What 60 Post-Earnings Trades Revealed
Every earnings season adds another piece to my growing post-earnings momentum database and trading research. After recording 60 real-world trades, I decided to compare one of the most common debates among active traders: Is it better to trade long or…
How to Improve Your Exit Strategy Using the Scientific Method (A Real 59-Trade Case Study)
Rather than guessing which trading ideas work, I analyzed 59 post-earnings momentum trades, compared multiple exit strategies, and used a simple spreadsheet to test one hypothesis at a time. Here’s the exact process I used—and how you can apply the…
What 50+ Post-Earnings Momentum Trade Setups Tought Me About Trading
What makes a high-quality post-earnings momentum trade? To answer that question, I analyzed 59 real post-earnings momentum setups using my own trading database. The results revealed a 66.1% continuation rate, an average Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) of 11.99%, and a…
BYRN Case Study: How a 27.5% Earnings Drop Became an A+ Short Setup
Byrna Technologies (NASDAQ: BYRN) became an A+ bearish post-earnings momentum setups in my database after reporting a 388.89% EPS miss, a 42.51% year-over-year revenue decline, and triggering a 27.5% collapse during the first hourly earnings candle. Although the stock initially…
Can Stocks Keep Going After a 20% Earnings Jump?
Most traders assume that a stock jumping 20% after earnings is worth chasing. But does a bigger earnings move actually lead to better returns, or a higher chance of retracement? To find out, I analyzed 56 post-earnings momentum trades, measuring…
PENG Case Study: How Penguin Solutions Turned a 7.5% Earnings Move Into an 18.81% Momentum Trade
Penguin Solutions (PENG) delivered one of the strongest post-earnings momentum setups of the 2026 earnings season. After reporting record financial results and significantly raising full-year guidance, the stock initially gained just 7.5% during the first hour before eventually rallying as…
How Often Do Stocks Gain 100%? (And Why You Don’t Actually Need Them)
Finding the next stock that doubles is a dream shared by almost every trader and investor. The good news is that stocks gain 100% every year, creating life-changing returns for those who catch them early. The bad news is that…
How Much Does the Average Stock Move in a Day? (With Real Market Data)
While the S&P 500 typically fluctuates just 0.5% to 1.0% during a normal trading session, individual stocks often experience much larger swings—especially around earnings announcements and other major news events. In this guide, we’ll examine historical market statistics, average daily…
