One of the most important lessons I’m learning as a trader is that good trading doesn’t always mean big profits. Sometimes the best trades of the day are the ones where you simply follow your process, execute your strategy properly, and manage risk well.
That’s exactly what I explained in the following CPB trade review.
While the trade only resulted in about $27 in profit, it was arguably the best trade I made all day because it followed my strategy and risk management rules almost perfectly.

CPB Earnings Results – Fundamentally Weak
Campbell Soup Company (CPB) reported earnings shortly after 7:00 AM this morning, and the results were clearly weak from a fundamental standpoint.
Here’s a quick breakdown of the report:
- EPS: $0.51 per share
- Revenue: $2.56 billion
Analyst expectations were significantly higher:
- Consensus EPS: $0.57
- Consensus Revenue: $2.61 billion
- Earnings Whisper: $0.60
In other words, CPB missed expectations across the board. Earnings came in roughly 15% below expectations, while revenue also declined 4.5% year-over-year.
The company also lowered its forward guidance, which is another bearish signal.
Updated fiscal 2026 guidance:
- EPS: $2.15 – $2.25
- Revenue: $9.78B – $9.88B
Previous guidance was significantly stronger:
- EPS: $2.40 – $2.55
- Revenue: $9.89B – $10.09B
Consensus estimates still sit around $2.42 EPS on $9.89B revenue, meaning the company’s new guidance came in below analyst expectations.
Put simply:
- Missed earnings
- Missed revenue
- Declining year-over-year performance
- Lowered guidance
That’s a very weak earnings report.
However, as I’ve explained in my post-earnings momentum strategy, weak fundamentals alone don’t automatically create an A+ setup. The trade still needs technical confirmation.
Fortunately, CPB provided exactly that.

The Technical Setup
Between 7 AM and 8 AM, CPB dropped about 5% below the previous day’s close.
Now, a 5% move isn’t massive compared to some of the high-momentum stocks traders often focus on. But when you combine that move with clearly weak fundamentals, it becomes a very interesting setup.
What really caught my attention was the multi-timeframe break of support.
CPB was breaking support on:
- Hourly chart
- 4-hour chart
- Daily chart
- Weekly chart
- Monthly chart
When you see a stock breaking support across multiple timeframes simultaneously, it often indicates that the stock has been weak for quite some time.
In other words, this wasn’t just a bad earnings report. The stock had already been struggling.
Why exactly CPB has been weak is hard to say. Maybe consumer habits are changing. Maybe inflation or tariffs are affecting margins. Maybe fewer people are buying canned soup.
Regardless of the reason, the charts were clearly telling a story:
This was a weak stock with weak fundamentals breaking major support.
That’s exactly the type of setup I like to short.

Waiting for Volume (Discipline)
One thing I’m particularly proud of with this trade is that I didn’t rush into the premarket.
CPB isn’t a typical momentum stock. It’s not a name that gets a ton of attention from traders, and the premarket volume was extremely thin.
Because of that, I simply stayed out.
That decision was intentional. One of the things I’m actively working on is not rushing into trades when liquidity is poor.
Thin volume leads to:
- unreliable price action
- wider spreads
- unpredictable moves
So I waited.
In my opinion, that was a strong discipline decision.
The Opening Range Breakdown Setup
The real opportunity appeared when the market opened at 9:30 AM.
I was watching both the 30-minute and hourly charts, and right after the open CPB made a sharp move higher.
The stock:
- opened around $23.50
- spiked to roughly $24.50
- then quickly reversed
That move formed a structure that many traders call an Opening Range Breakdown (ORB).
The stock established an early range and then broke below the opening price, signaling potential downside momentum.
At the same time, the candle structure resembled a shooting star, which is typically considered a bearish reversal signal.
When the stock dropped below the opening price, I decided to enter the trade and go short.

Position Size and Risk Management
Another thing I’m proud of with this trade is that I stuck to my position size rule.
I kept the position at roughly $1000, which is the size I’m currently using while I focus on improving discipline and consistency.
That might sound small to some traders, but the goal right now isn’t maximizing profits.
The goal is executing trades correctly.
And this trade did exactly that.
The Trade Plays Out
After entering the short position, the trade worked almost immediately.
Price continued dropping steadily and eventually moved more than 5% lower before finding intraday support.
As the stock began stabilizing and attempting to bounce, I moved my stop loss lower to lock in profits while still allowing the trade some room to continue.
Eventually, price reversed enough to trigger my stop loss.
The result:
+2.7% gain
or roughly
+$27
A Small Profit, But a Big Win
Financially speaking, $27 isn’t a huge gain.
But from a process and discipline perspective, this trade was a major win.
The trade followed my strategy almost perfectly:
- Weak earnings report
- Lowered guidance
- Multi-timeframe break of support
- Opening range breakdown
- Proper position size
- Controlled risk
- Letting the trade play out
Throughout the premarket and regular trading hours I was also trading other stocks like SERV, ORCL, AVAV, and HIMS, all of which had interesting price action.
However, I don’t feel like I showed the same level of discipline and risk management on those trades that I did with CPB.
That’s why this small $27 gain actually feels like the biggest win of the day.
Because in trading, the goal isn’t just making money.
The goal is building a repeatable process that works over time.
And today, the CPB trade followed that process almost perfectly.


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