The following $SE trade review walks you through the company’s results, the ensuing price action, and how I failed to take advantage of a really, really good trade setup.
Sea Limited reported earnings at about 6:30am this morning.
They posted $0.63 EPS on $6.85B revenue for Q4 2025.
Consensus was $0.90 EPS on $6.78B revenue.
Revenue grew 38.41% YoY, but EPS missed by 30%.
Not a disaster. But not strong either.
Now layer in the broader context:
- Geopolitical tension (US-Isreali war with Iran)
- Major indices selling off (oil prices surges causing panic)
- Weak EPS headline (company specific fundamental changes)
Between 6:30am and 7:00am, $SE dropped roughly 11%. At the same time, it broke hourly support.
It was also breaking down on the 4-hour and daily charts.
This was a textbook post-earnings momentum short setup.
It was an A+.
What I Did Right
I started correctly.
I shorted 11 shares — roughly a $1,000 position.
That aligns perfectly with my system and fixed-risk model.
The setup was valid:
- -10% earnings move
- Momentum continuation
- Higher timeframe breakdown
- Macro weakness
Everything checked out.
Where I Blew It
Then I got greedy. I felt like it was a sure thing. I added another 100 shares.
Position size jumped from $1,000 to over $10,000 with an average entry around $88.40.
That’s TFB — too f***ing big. Not cool, guy!
It was also still early premarket. Liquidity was thin. Spreads were wide.
Price then popped to ~$91, that’s nearly $2.50 against my position in minutes.
Now I’m down $300+ on a single trade, which wiped out prior gains and immediately put me into emotional mode.
So I exited.
Not because the setup failed. Not because the thesis changed. But because I oversized and scared myself out.
The Spiral
Then came the revenge impulse.
I tried re-entering — again oversized. Pulled out quickly because I knew I was breaking rules.
And then?
I went all-in on $ONON.
Another earnings short setup. Another valid setup. But I was no longer trading process. I was trading emotion. I had broke my rules trading $SE and now I was breaking them on $ONON…
I know better than to do this, it never works out… Well, sometimes it does. But when it does, it still makes for piss-poor trading and only reinforces bad habits, tricking my brain into thinking that breaking the rules CAN work sometimes.
But that’s not even the worst part of all this.
Meanwhile…
At the open, $SE rolled over exactly as expected.
It quickly moved more than 10% lower than my original $88.40 entry.
The A+ setup worked.
I just wasn’t in it.
The Truth
This was not a strategy failure. This was not a read-the-market-wrong failure.
This was a risk management failure. The only thing that made this trade bad was:
- Oversizing in low liquidity
- Letting P/L dictate decisions
- Abandoning process for emotion
Had I kept the original $1,000 position, I likely would have:
- Stayed calm
- Sat through the noise
- Captured the continuation move
- Made a really good frickin’ trade!
Lessons
- Never oversize
- Never chase
- Never trade emotionally
- Trust your setups
- Respect liquidity conditions
The setup was elite. My execution was not.
The market didn’t beat me.
I beat myself.
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